Category: Geopolitics

Navigating the Swedish Council Presidency 

On 1 January this year, Sweden assumed the rotating Presidency of the Council of the EU for a period of six months. As expected, Sweden is staying true to its “honest broker” reputation, though this time it seems to be more out of necessity than choice.   The Swedish Government faces a difficult economic and political […]
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30 Jan, 2023

Geopolitics in 2023: a transition year 

2023 looks set to be a transition year for geopolitics. Developments this year will shape the political debate ahead of major electoral events in 2024: the US, Russia, Ukraine and Taiwan will face presidential elections, the UK will in all likelihood hold a General Election, and the EU will hold the European parliament elections. 2023 […]
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27 Jan, 2023

Sovereignty, security and the UK emerging tech outlook

For the first time in decades, security concerns are king in industrial and economic policy. Few sectors are more impacted by this trend than emerging tech. US offensive action targeting semiconductor exports to China, together with the defensive CHIPS and Science Act, is the most significant peacetime national security market intervention by a Western power […]
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19 Dec, 2022

Reshuffled MidCat pipeline puts sustainability first - at the cost of energy independence?

From MidCat to H2Med One of the biggest challenges for Europe to replace Russian gas is to get gas and hydrogen from southern to central Europe. When pressure from Berlin and Madrid at the height of the energy crisis brought the MidCat pipeline back into the spotlight after years at the back of the drawer, […]
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12 Dec, 2022

An EU gas price cap in name only?

On 22 November, after months of discussions, and much pressure exerted by EU countries, the European Commission released its proposal for a gas price cap, entitled “Regulation establishing a market correction mechanism to protect citizens and the economy against excessively high prices”. But was it worth the wait? The proposal’s price cap per megawatt-hour is […]
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08 Dec, 2022

How can business navigate geopolitics?

The last few months have been a whirlwind. With so many moving parts in global politics and economics it is hard to understand, let alone anticipate, events. Back to the future It’s been clear for some time that we have entered a new phase of geopolitics, though we don’t yet have a name for it. […]
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07 Nov, 2022

EU’s winter energy plans: European unity tested

Key Points: Europe is facing the worst energy crisis in its history, affecting the entire European economy and beyond. According to the latest predictions, if Russia completely cuts off gas supplies in the coming months, the EU's GDP could shrink by 1.5%. These economic disruptions could have far-reaching political consequences for EU Member States, both […]
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29 Jul, 2022

What will Swedish and Finnish NATO membership mean for European defence policy and industry?

Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February, the debate around NATO membership has escalated in Sweden and Finland – the only Nordic countries not currently members of the alliance. Both countries have long histories, but very different relationships, with Russia as well as modern – though not huge – defence capabilities. Swedish and Finnish NATO […]
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12 May, 2022

Ukraine: The end of financial globalisation?

Russia’s war against Ukraine and the West’s response will have structural long-term economic consequences. A month after the beginning of the war, we take stock of some of the big questions around the macroeconomic impact and the global financial system. Russia and Europe will pay a heavy price A global recession is unlikely. The IMF […]
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29 Mar, 2022

Central bank digital currencies – who needs them? 

Arguably every major economy does. Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) mark a sizable shift in the global financial architecture and countries that opt-out risk not only the technical benefits of digital cash – but also their place in the future financial order.   State of play  The debate surrounding the digitisation of national currencies or the […]
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07 Mar, 2022

The Flint Podcast - Ukraine: war and sanctions - the implications for business

 Our latest podcast is out! The situation in Ukraine is unfolding rapidly. Listen to Simon Fraser, Julian King, Gregor Kreuzhuber and Sam Lowe discuss what the implications of the war and sanctions will be for business: The Flint Podcast.
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26 Feb, 2022

The Flint Podcast - A fracturing world? Geopolitics in 2022

We enter 2022 amid great international uncertainty. Covid may be in retreat in the developed world, but not across the globe. High debt and inflation will make delivering on climate promises hard. Serious political and military tension has flared between Russia and the West over Ukraine. The China/US standoff persists. America is divided and Biden […]
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11 Feb, 2022
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